01032cam a2200301 4500 119146580 TxGeo 20121129120000.0 120703s2012||||||||||||||||||||||||eng|u 2012027308 9781594204111 hbk. 159420411X hbk. (OCoLC)780480483 TxGeo Silver, Nate, 1978- The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver. Why so many predictions fail-- but some do not. New York, NY : Penguin Press, 2012. 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. 20121129. Forecasting. Forecasting. Methodology. Forecasting. History. Bayesian statistical decision theory. Knowledge, Theory of. QS5